Will Solana flip Base in x402 payment volume by December 31, 2026

How this resolves

This market resolves YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), Solana's x402 USDC payment volume exceeds Base's over the trailing 30 days — a confirmed flip sustained beyond a single day — and NO otherwise. Volume is read from public on-chain data via Hunch's Dune query 7736383, cross-checked against x402scan and Artemis. At creation Base still leads x402 payment volume (~$21M vs Solana ~$16M over the prior 30 days). Once a sustained flip is confirmed the market settles YES immediately.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this x402 market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from on-chain x402 payment volume by chain (dune 7736383, x402scan, artemis), by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC at the latest.