HunchBazaar
Native marketChain throughputAuto-resolves · on-chain

Will Base reach 5,000 TPS by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

A native Hunch YES/NO market on Base's throughput. Resolves YES the instant Base's measured transactions-per-second reaches 5,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026 — otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is read directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator), averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window so a single bursty minute can't spoof the line. At creation Base sustains a few hundred TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 target.

Outcome

YES / NO

Target

5,000 TPS

Deadline

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Countdown

119d08h07m09s

Total betted so far

$0.00

0 bets

YES

$0.00

NO

$0.00

No bets yet — be the first to set the line.

Live Base throughput · on-chain

block 50,830,678

Current TPS

139

Target

5,000

2.8% of target35.9× to go

How this resolves

Resolves YES the instant Base's measured throughput reaches 5,000 TPS at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is measured directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (transactions per second, averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window) — the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator.

Resolution source

Base mainnet (on-chain block data)

View source

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Jun 4, 2026, 08:15 AM UTC) Base sustained ≈ 350 TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 line.

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