HunchBazaar
Native marketChain throughputAuto-resolves · on-chain

Will Base reach 5,000 TPS by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

A native Hunch YES/NO market on Base's throughput. Resolves YES the instant Base's measured transactions-per-second reaches 5,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026 — otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is read directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator), averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window so a single bursty minute can't spoof the line. At creation Base sustains a few hundred TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 target.

Outcome

YES / NO

Target

5,000 TPS

Deadline

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Countdown

69d11h01m16s

Total betted so far

$0.00

0 bets

YES

$0.00

NO

$0.00

No bets yet — be the first to set the line.

Live Base throughput · on-chain

Live Base TPS reading is momentarily unavailable. The official resolution reads Base's transactions-per-second directly from mainnet blocks on every settlement tick.

How this resolves

Resolves YES the instant Base's measured throughput reaches 5,000 TPS at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is measured directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (transactions per second, averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window) — the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator.

Resolution source

Base mainnet (on-chain block data)

View source

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Jun 4, 2026, 08:15 AM UTC) Base sustained ≈ 350 TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 line.

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