New market

What kind of question

A yes/no question about a future event.

Must be answerable yes or no by a specific date.87/120

“Significant” is a judgement, not a fact. Name the number or the source that decides it, so nobody has to take your word for it.

Try one of these instead

Name the exact thing that must occur and where it will be visible. "Resolves YES if a v2 release is tagged on the public GitHub repo before the close time." This text is quoted back to you when you settle, and to every bettor before they bet.

Betting stops here. Between 1h and 180 days from now.

Decides which feed it shows up in.

Outcomes (2 of 10)

Two by default. Add up to 10 for a pick-the-winner market — the pool pays whichever outcome you settle on.

Who can see it

Listed in the feed for anyone to find.

Money

Bets are USDC on Base.

Creator earnings

You receive half of the 2% settlement fee (up to 1% of the pool) when the market resolves. Hunch receives the other half. No fee is earned on refunds.

Seed the pool (optional)

Your seed is a normal bet from $0.50: you can lose it, you sign it in your wallet right after publishing, and every bettor sees it on the market as your own position.

Suggested markets

People asked to bet on these and no market existed. Pick one up — the form prefills, you stay the creator and the resolver.