Make a market from any post on X.

Three things, and the third is only for betting:

• An X account

  Markets are made from posts. Your handle is the face on every market you open.

• A Bankr wallet on that account

  Bankr signs for you. Step 1 covers it if you have never used Bankr.

• USDC on Base, to bet

  Creating is free. Bets start at $0.50, paid from the same wallet.

If you have tagged @bankrbot on X before, you already have one: Bankr ties a wallet to your X account and recognises you whenever you tag it. Skip to step 2.

1. 1.Open bankr.bot and sign in with your X account. Approve the connection when X asks.
2. 2.If Bankr offers to add a recovery email, do it, so losing your X login never locks you out of the wallet.
3. 3.Open the Wallet tab and copy your Base address. Send it USDC on Base if you plan to bet; skip this if you only want to create.

Signing in with X is what links the two. Bazaar takes your handle from the account Bankr knows, never from text in a post.

Send Bankr this one sentence. In Bankr’s chat at bankr.bot is easiest, because you can see the result right away:

Or post it to the bot on X. Skills belong to your Bankr account, so either place works everywhere:

1. 1.Bankr fetches the skill’s SKILL.md and its reference files from rajkaria/hunch-skills and saves it to your account. It is listed in Bankr’s own catalogue too, at BankrBot/skills.
2. 2.Check it landed: open bankr.bot/skills and look for hunch-bazaar under Installed.
3. 3.Test it: send bazaar help. Bankr answers with the fee, the minimum bet, the 48-hour guarantee and your creation limits.

There are two ways to ask, and both start with a post on X.

The walkthrough below follows one market from the first post to the payout:

The bot replies with a draft. Nothing is created yet: the preview is there so you publish exactly the terms you read. This is the reply, as the bot writes it:

1. Draft, not live yet: "Will ETH trade above $5,000 at 20:00 UTC on Nov 6, 2026?"

   Nothing exists yet. This is the question exactly as it will publish.

2. YES / NO · betting closes Nov 6 20:00 UTC · you resolve it by Nov 9 20:00 UTC

   The outcomes, when betting stops, and your deadline to resolve. Every time is UTC.

3. Source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum

   The link the market resolves against. Bettors see it on the card.

4. 2% of the pool, taken at settlement from the winners' payout and never more than the losing side's total. Stakes enter the pool whole; voids and refunds carry no fee.

   The fee: 2% of the pool, only at settlement, only from the winners.

5. Unresolved 48h past the deadline (by Nov 11 20:00 UTC), every bettor is refunded in full.

   The guarantee: if you never resolve, every bettor gets their whole stake back, and the miss stays on your record.

6. Once live, nothing about it can change. Reply "confirm" to publish.

   Nothing can be edited after this. Reply "confirm" within 5 minutes, from the same account.

If something is wrong, do not confirm: post again with the fix. A draft with a problem says what stops it instead (“I can’t publish that yet: …”), and an open market that looks similar is listed so you can bet on it instead. Publishing yours anyway is fine.

Reply confirm to the preview, from the account that asked, within 5 minutes.

Then, without anything else from you:

1. 1.Bankr loads the exact terms it showed you, saved to your own Bankr wallet's files when it posted the preview. A confirm can only publish what you read.
2. 2.Bazaar hands back one plain-text message for your wallet to sign: it names bazaar.playhunch.xyz, the action, your wallet, Base (chain 8453), a fingerprint of the exact market, and a one-time nonce. It ends “Free to sign. Sends no transaction.”
3. 3.Bankr signs it with your wallet. Bazaar checks the signature matches the wallet and the terms, and publishes.

It is live. The link opens the market on Bazaar with the question, your record, the criteria and the source above the pool. Asking twice from the same post never makes a second market; the bot answers with the first one.

Post the link, or just let people reply in the thread. Anyone with a Bankr wallet can bet without leaving X; anyone else bets on the web with a wallet. In the market’s thread, a reply is enough:

A bet is quoted first: the payout against the pool as it stands, your record as the person settling it, and a plain disclosure. It is paid in USDC on Base only after the bettor replies confirm. With no bets yet the market has no odds: the first bettor sets them. You can bet on your own market; your position is shown next to your name.

1. Close

   Betting stops at the time in the preview.

2. ~10 min

   Bazaar locks the pool. Now you can resolve.

3. Deadline

   Resolve before close + 72h.

4. +48h

   Still unresolved: every bettor is refunded in full.

Reply in the market’s thread with the outcome and your reason:

Winners are paid in the same call and the bot posts the result in the thread: the outcome, the winners paid, the pool and the fee. A resolution is final. Only you can resolve: when anyone else replies “resolve”, the bot names you and signs nothing.

Can’t settle it fairly (the source stopped publishing, the event was cancelled)? Void it before resolving, with a reason of at least 10 characters. Every bettor is refunded in full with no fee, and your reason is shown on the market:

Never sure what is due? @bankrbot what do I need to resolve on bazaar? lists your markets past close, soonest deadline first.

Copy one, change the details, post it. Relative times like “this Friday” are fine: the preview reads every time back as an exact UTC moment before anything publishes.

The test: could two honest people read your market and disagree about who won? If yes, bettors will. Each fix below adds the one thing that was missing.

For a multi-outcome market, say which outcome wins on an exact boundary (is $100k “under” or “$100k to $125k”?).

Plain English works; these are the phrasings the skill is built around. Anywhere a link goes, a reply in the market’s thread works too.

Cost to create

$0.00A free wallet signature. No transaction, no gas, no USDC needed.

Markets per 24 hours

3Rises by 1 for every 5 markets you resolve on time, up to 10.

Open or unresolved at once

10Resolving one frees a slot.

Betting closes

1h – 180dAnywhere from that soon to that far out.

Your resolve deadline

+72hAfter the close by default, never more than 7 days.

Outcomes

2 – 10YES/NO, or a named list.

Fee

2%Of the pool, from the winners at settlement, never more than the losing side. 1% of the pool is yours as the creator.

Minimum bet

$0.50No Hunch maximum. Bankr's own limits still apply.

Auto-refund

48hUnresolved that long past the deadline, every bettor is refunded in full.

Per X post

1One market per post. Asking again returns the same market.

Markets made from X are always public. The same limits apply however you create, on X or on the web.

• Bankr answers in general terms and never shows a “Draft, not live yet” preview

  Bankr did not pick the skill for that post.

  Name it: “@bankrbot use the hunch-bazaar skill to make a market: …”. Check the skill is under Installed at bankr.bot/skills.

• “I can't publish that yet: …”

  The draft is missing something: a close time, a checkable source, criteria.

  Post again with the missing piece. The message names each one.

• “Bazaar won't list that: …”

  The content screen refused the market.

  It is final for that question. Rephrasing it to get past the screen is refused too.

• “You can open 3 markets per 24 hours. Your next slot opens at …”

  You hit your rolling 24-hour limit.

  Wait for the time it names. Resolving on time raises the limit, up to 10.

• A refusal about open or unresolved markets

  You already hold 10 markets that are open or waiting for you to resolve.

  Resolve one: “@bankrbot what do I need to resolve on bazaar?”

• “That post already made this market”

  You asked twice from the same post. Nothing new was created.

  Use the link in the reply. Each post makes at most one market.

• A refusal saying another creator already used that post

  Someone made a market from that post first.

  Bet on theirs, or reply under a different post.

• You replied “confirm” and Bankr says the preview expired

  Previews wait 5 minutes so a confirm always matches the terms you just read.

  Ask again for a fresh preview, then confirm inside the window.

• “Private markets keep their link private. …”

  Markets made from X are always public.

  Make a private market on bazaar.playhunch.xyz/create instead.

• Bankr says an update is available for the skill

  A newer version is out. The installed one keeps working.

  Run the same install command again; it replaces the installed copy.

• Bankr refuses the install over a name conflict

  You already have a different skill called hunch-bazaar.

  Delete or rename that one under Installed at bankr.bot/skills, then install again.