$MSTRCOct 25
Strategy buys BTC · week to Oct 26
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Native marketManual resolution5 contenders · pick the winner
How much bitcoin will Strategy hold on Dec 31, 2026
848,250 BTC on Oct 11. Pick the band its holdings land in on Dec 31, 2026, as Strategy discloses them. A quiet quarter stays under 860K; its 2024–25 pace clears 950K.
Contenders
5
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
Strategy's bitcoin holdings at Dec 31, 2026
Deadline
Nov 30
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Under 860,000 BTC
Favourite20¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
860,000 – 879,999 BTC
20¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
880,000 – 899,999 BTC
20¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
900,000 – 949,999 BTC
20¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
950,000 BTC or more
20¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Strategy market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the band containing Strategy Inc.'s aggregate bitcoin holdings as of Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, as first disclosed in an SEC filing or on strategy.com/purchases (the weekly 8-K covering Dec 31, or the 10-K). Bands include their lower bound. If no holdings figure as of Dec 31 is disclosed by Feb 28, 2027, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Mon, Nov 30, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: Strategy 8-K / strategy.com/purchases.
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