$B20Dec 31
First stock to $10M float on Base
6 contenders · pick the winner
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Native marketManual resolution4 contenders · pick the winner
Which goes live on Base first: Coinbase, Circle or Intel
All three have a Coinbase Chainlink feed and a B20 contract but no shares yet. Which gets shares issued first — or none by Dec 31?
Contenders
4
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
First of COINc / CRCLc / INTCc with shares on Base
Deadline
Dec 31
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Coinbase (COINc)
Favourite25¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Circle (CRCLc)
25¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Intel (INTCc)
25¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
None by Dec 31
25¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock listings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the token whose FIRST mint (the first Transfer from the zero address on Base, per Basescan) has the earliest block: COINc 0xb200000000000000000000c85a31389d71f3ecfb, CRCLc 0xb20000000000000000000019f6e7c675b73c2e4d, INTCc 0xb2000000000000000000004aff16039ba04bdfbc. "None" if none mints by Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET, or when the first mint is published on Hunch (Hunch settles it as soon as it happens). These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: Basescan token transfers (mint events).
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