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Which tokenized stock will hold the biggest on-chain float on Base at the end of 2026

A native multi-outcome Hunch market: which of Coinbase's tokenized stocks do on-chain holders actually own the most of, come year end? At creation NVIDIA led with about $2.42M of on-chain float, ahead of Alphabet ($1.50M), Meta ($1.30M) and Apple ($1.29M) — closer than the companies' real market caps would ever suggest, because this measures crypto's preference, not Wall Street's. 'Any other ticker' covers the nine contracts sitting at zero supply today, several of which would be a genuine upset. Resolves to the B20 token with the largest on-chain float (shares issued × official price) on December 31, 2026.

Contenders

5

Resolution

Manual

Judged from

Biggest on-chain float at year end

Deadline

Dec 31

Total betted so far

$0.00

0 bets

NVIDIA (NVDAc)

@nvidia
Favourite20¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Corner: $2.42M

Backed

$0

Alphabet (GOOGLc)

@Google
20¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Corner: $1.50M

Backed

$0

Meta (METAc)

@Meta
20¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Corner: $1.30M

Backed

$0

Apple (AAPLc)

@Apple
20¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Corner: $1.29M

Backed

$0

Any other B20 ticker

@base
20¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Corner: Field

Backed

$0

Proof · committed publicly on X

Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.

Fee and resolution

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock leaderboard market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market resolves to the B20 tokenized stock with the LARGEST on-chain float on Base at December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC). On-chain float is that token's totalSupply() on Base multiplied by its official Coinbase Chainlink price feed — the same number Hunch serves live at /api/metrics/tokenized-stocks, and reproducible by anyone with two eth_calls per token. 'Any other B20 ticker' wins if the leader is any Coinbase tokenized stock other than NVDAc, GOOGLc, METAc or AAPLc, including one not yet issued at creation. Hunch settles it out-of-band from that reading. Judged from: On-chain totalSupply() × Coinbase Chainlink equity feed, per B20 token on Base.

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