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Will Apple beat $1.98 EPS in its fiscal Q4 2026 results

Apple reports fiscal Q4 2026 results on Mon, Nov 2. YES if its GAAP diluted EPS is above $1.98 — the Street consensus frozen at listing. Meeting it exactly is NO.

Outcome

YES / NO

Resolves

By the earnings release

Deadline

Nov 2, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC

Countdown

06h42m39s

Total betted so far

$0.00

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YES

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NO

$0.00

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Apple's GAAP diluted EPS for fiscal Q4 2026, as stated in its earnings press release (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1), is strictly greater than $1.98. $1.98 is the consensus estimate recorded at listing (Yahoo Finance consensus, read Oct 13, 2026, 27 analysts) and never moves. Equal to $1.98 resolves NO. Figures are compared as reported, to the cent. Later restatements are ignored. If the results are not released within 45 days of Mon, Nov 2, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Mon, Nov 2, 4:00 PM ET, before the release. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.

Resolution source

Apple earnings release (SEC 8-K)

View source

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this AAPL earnings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from apple earnings release (sec 8-k), by Nov 2, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.

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