Will AAPL move 3% or more after fiscal Q4 earnings

Key instants

Reference price

Mon, Nov 2 close (4:00 PM ET)Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Settlement price

Tue, Nov 3, 10:00 AM ETTue, Nov 3, 2026, 15:00 UTC

Betting closes

Mon, Nov 2, 4:00 PM ETMon, Nov 2, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Rules — fixed at listing

Resolves YES if the price of AAPL on the Chainlink "Coinbase AAPL" feed on Base (proxy 0x787f13dea48db0897cbcdd985de77809d837f988) at Tue, Nov 3, 10:00 AM ET (2026-11-03T15:00:00.000Z) is at least 3% above or at least 3% below the price at Mon, Nov 2 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-11-02T21:00:00.000Z); otherwise NO (exactly 3% counts as YES). "The price at" an instant means the feed round in force then — the latest round whose updatedAt is at or before that instant — read with getRoundData() and published with the result so anyone can check it. Coinbase's feed publishes a new round when the price moves about 0.5% or every 24 hours, so the price in force can differ slightly from the exchange's printed close; the feed value is the one that counts. If a price needed to settle was never published, or the round in force is more than 96 hours old (a halted or paused feed), the market is VOID and every stake is refunded in full with no fee. The window is fixed at listing: if Apple reports on a different date, so the results are not released between those two instants, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes at Mon, Nov 2 close (4:00 PM ET). If a stock split or reverse split takes effect inside the window, the earlier price is divided by the split ratio before comparing.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this AAPL earnings-night market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. A VOID refunds every stake in full, fee included.