Will VIDAx reach 5,000 holders before 2027
A native Hunch YES/NO market on whether Vida Global's tokenized share finds a real crowd. Holder count is the number vida.io leads its own stats page with, and it is the hardest adoption number to fake: a wallet either holds the share or it does not. Resolves YES the instant VIDAx's indexed holder count touches 5,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026 — otherwise NO. At creation there were 921 holders, so YES needs a 5.4x. The line is set well past the current run rate on purpose: the count added 64 holders in the six hours before this market opened, so a nearer line would have been a formality. The count originates with GeckoTerminal, the same provider Vida cites, and reaches settlement through Hunch's own public metrics endpoint, which names the upstream it read and falls back to CoinGecko's onchain mirror when GeckoTerminal refuses a datacenter IP. Hunch applies the 5,000 line itself. Note what the number is: indexed holder ADDRESSES, which include custodians, pool accounts and other address types — it is not a count of individual investors.
Outcome
YES / NO
Target
5,000 holder addresses
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
104d20h49m37s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
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Live Vida Global xStock (VIDAx) · hunch
Declared so far
4,797
Target
5,000
How this resolves
Resolves YES the instant Vida Global xStock (VIDAx) reports 5,000 holder addresses at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. The holder addresses count is read live from the Vida Global xStock (VIDAx) API; Hunch reads the raw metric and applies the 5,000 line itself, so settlement never depends on the partner's own call.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this VIDAx adoption market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Sep 11, 2026, 02:34 PM UTC) Vida Global xStock (VIDAx) reported ≈ 921 holder addresses.
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