HunchBazaar
Native marketEvent marketManual resolution

Will US single-stock perpetual futures go live on Coinbase or Kalshi by Dec 31

Kalshi and Coinbase filed with the SEC and CFTC on Sep 18–19 to list perpetual futures on US stocks; the earliest effective date is Nov 2. YES if either starts trading them for US users by Dec 31.

Outcome

YES / NO

Resolves

By hand · named source

Deadline

Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC

Countdown

59d06h43m52s

Total betted so far

$0.00

0 bets

YES

$0.00

NO

$0.00

No bets yet — be the first to set the line.

How this resolves

Resolves YES if, between listing and Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Coinbase (Coinbase Derivatives or Coinbase Financial Markets) or Kalshi launches trading in a perpetual futures contract on any single US-listed stock that US customers can trade, as confirmed by an official company or exchange announcement and a first executed trade. Index perps, non-US-only offerings and approvals without trading do not count. Otherwise NO. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.

Resolution source

Coinbase / Kalshi announcements + CFTC / SEC filings

View source

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this single-stock perps market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from coinbase / kalshi announcements + cftc / sec filings, by Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.

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