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Will Tesla deliver more cars in Q4 2026 than in Q3 (486,532)

Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3 2026, beating its own compiled consensus by 5%. YES if its Q4 2026 production-and-deliveries release (about Jan 2, 2027) reports more.

Outcome

YES / NO

Resolves

By the deliveries release

Deadline

Nov 30, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC

Countdown

28d06h42m10s

Total betted so far

$0.00

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YES

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NO

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026 in Tesla's quarterly production, deliveries and deployments press release are strictly greater than 486,532 (the Q3 2026 figure in Tesla's Oct 2, 2026 release). Later revisions are ignored. If the release is not published by January 31, 2027, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Mon, Nov 30, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.

Resolution source

Tesla quarterly deliveries release (ir.tesla.com)

View source

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this TSLA deliveries market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from tesla quarterly deliveries release (ir.tesla.com), by Nov 30, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.

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