$SOLSep 30 '27
SOL → $250 · when
5 windows · pick when
$0 vol0 betscoingecko
Native marketflipthe.market resolves7 windows · pick when
When will Solana flip NASDAQ in trades
A native multi-outcome Hunch market on the race flipthe.market made famous: pick the window in which Solana first out-trades NASDAQ over a week. Each day compares Solana's spot-DEX trades over the last 7 days with NASDAQ's trades over its last 5 sessions, using the daily figures flipthe.market publishes (Blockworks data for both sides). Solana stood at 52.8% of NASDAQ for the week to September 20 — 165.3M trades against 312.9M. Resolves to the window containing the first day that share reaches 100%. A day counts only once it is complete, and only on final NASDAQ figures that agree within 2% with the “Total Trades” Nasdaq publishes in its own Daily Market Summary; holiday weeks are still compared against five sessions; and the flip must be confirmed by a second reading ≥30 min later — so a partial or broken count can never fake one. It early-locks the moment the flip is confirmed; if Solana hasn't flipped NASDAQ by March 31, 2027, “Not by March 31, 2027” wins. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).
Asset
$SOL
Live share
56.3%
Target
100%
Countdown
159d11h04m00s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Live Solana's share of NASDAQ trades (7 days ÷ 5 sessions)56.3% / 100%
56.3% to 100% · the flip43.7% to go
One week each · the race behind the share
Solana · 7 days
169.21M
spot-DEX trades · Oct 16 – Oct 22 · flipthe.market
- Oct 1326.76M
- Oct 1425.76M
- Oct 1527.11M
- Oct 1626.02M
- Oct 1722.18M
- Oct 1822.06M
- Oct 1925.28M
- Oct 2025.01M
- Oct 2124.84M
- Oct 2223.83M
NASDAQ · 5 sessions
300.49M
total trades · Oct 16 – Oct 22 · flipthe.market
- Oct 1664.53M
- Oct 1955.23M
- Oct 2054.85M
- Oct 2157.45M
- Oct 2268.44M
Solana needs 131.28M more trades in a week to flip NASDAQ. Scored for Oct 22 on final, cross-checked figures.
NASDAQ figures match Nasdaq's own Daily Market Summary (within 1.0%). Nasdaq's summary
Ranges · low → high · pick the close
Parimutuel
No bets yet — odds start even across every range. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata; bet before anyone else and you’re refunded.
By October 15, 2026
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
October 16–31, 2026
LiveEven
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
November 1–15, 2026
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
November 16–30, 2026
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
December 2026
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
January–March 2027
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
Not by March 31, 2027
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Solana × NASDAQ market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. The market resolves to the single UTC window in which Solana's share of NASDAQ trades (7 days ÷ 5 sessions) first crosses 100% — read live from flipthe.market. It locks the instant the crossing is confirmed; if the line is not crossed by Apr 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC, the “Not by March 31, 2027” outcome wins. The live share above is a preview.
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