Will NVDA fall to $205 by Nov 30

Line $205.00 — −3.5% from the latest print. Lowest regular-session print since listing: $211.17 (111 feed rounds checked).

Key instants

Window opens

Wed, Oct 14, 9:30 AM ETWed, Oct 14, 2026, 13:30 UTC

Window closes

Mon, Nov 30 close (4:00 PM ET)Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Betting closes

Mon, Nov 30, 4:00 PM ETMon, Nov 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Rules — fixed at listing

Resolves YES if any round of the Chainlink "Coinbase NVDA" feed on Base (proxy 0x04689a41629776563e6822f76f2e57d148d28513) with an updatedAt inside NYSE regular trading hours (9:30 AM ET to the close, 1:00 PM on early-close days) between Wed, Oct 14, 9:30 AM ET (2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z) and Mon, Nov 30 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-11-30T21:00:00.000Z) reports a price at or below $205. Equal to the line counts. Prints before listing, in pre-market, after-hours or overnight sessions do not count. YES locks the moment a qualifying round is found (betting stops); otherwise NO once the window has closed and every round in it has been checked. The feed updates on a ~0.5% move or every 24 hours, so a brief wick that never moves the feed does not count. If a stock split or reverse split takes effect inside the window, the earlier price is divided by the split ratio before comparing.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this NVDA crash cover market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. A VOID refunds every stake in full, fee included.