Will MSTR move 6% or more after Q3 earnings

Settled

YES

Key instants

Reference price

Thu, Oct 29 close (4:00 PM ET)Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 20:00 UTC

Settlement price

Fri, Oct 30, 10:00 AM ETFri, Oct 30, 2026, 14:00 UTC

Betting closes

Thu, Oct 29, 4:00 PM ETThu, Oct 29, 2026, 20:00 UTC

Rules — fixed at listing

Resolves YES if the price of MSTR on the Chainlink "Coinbase MSTR" feed on Base (proxy 0xb3ce282cd188b35da0e38d8bc7d58e33173d202a) at Fri, Oct 30, 10:00 AM ET (2026-10-30T14:00:00.000Z) is at least 6% above or at least 6% below the price at Thu, Oct 29 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z); otherwise NO (exactly 6% counts as YES). "The price at" an instant means the feed round in force then — the latest round whose updatedAt is at or before that instant — read with getRoundData() and published with the result so anyone can check it. Coinbase's feed publishes a new round when the price moves about 0.5% or every 24 hours, so the price in force can differ slightly from the exchange's printed close; the feed value is the one that counts. If a price needed to settle was never published, or the round in force is more than 96 hours old (a halted or paused feed), the market is VOID and every stake is refunded in full with no fee. The window is fixed at listing: if Strategy reports on a different date, so the results are not released between those two instants, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes at Thu, Oct 29 close (4:00 PM ET). If a stock split or reverse split takes effect inside the window, the earlier price is divided by the split ratio before comparing.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this MSTR earnings-night market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. A VOID refunds every stake in full, fee included.