Will MSFT be UP after the Christmas break

Key instants

Reference price

Wed, Dec 23 close (4:00 PM ET)Wed, Dec 23, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Settlement price

Mon, Dec 28, 10:00 AM ETMon, Dec 28, 2026, 15:00 UTC

Betting closes

Wed, Dec 23, 4:00 PM ETWed, Dec 23, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Rules — fixed at listing

Resolves UP if the price of MSFT on the Chainlink "Coinbase MSFT" feed on Base (proxy 0xeb10a6c9aa7e537aed766c08c35dae35b321b18c) at Mon, Dec 28, 10:00 AM ET (2026-12-28T15:00:00.000Z) is strictly higher than the price at Wed, Dec 23 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-12-23T21:00:00.000Z), and DOWN if it is lower. The window spans the Christmas break, including any shortened session. "The price at" an instant means the feed round in force then — the latest round whose updatedAt is at or before that instant — read with getRoundData() and published with the result so anyone can check it. Coinbase's feed publishes a new round when the price moves about 0.5% or every 24 hours, so the price in force can differ slightly from the exchange's printed close; the feed value is the one that counts. Exactly equal prices VOID the market. Betting closes at Wed, Dec 23 close (4:00 PM ET). If a price needed to settle was never published, or the round in force is more than 96 hours old (a halted or paused feed), the market is VOID and every stake is refunded in full with no fee. If a stock split or reverse split takes effect inside the window, the earlier price is divided by the split ratio before comparing.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this MSFT Christmas break market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. A VOID refunds every stake in full, fee included.