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Native marketManual resolution6 contenders · pick the winner
Which will be the largest company in the world on Dec 31, 2026
NVIDIA leads at $5.5T, Apple $5.0T, Alphabet $4.3T, Microsoft $4.1T, Amazon $2.8T (Oct 13). Which is #1 by market cap at the Dec 31 close?
Contenders
6
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
Largest company by market cap at the Dec 31 close
Deadline
Dec 28
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
NVIDIA
16¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Apple
16¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Alphabet
Favourite17¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Microsoft
17¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Amazon
17¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Another company
17¢
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this largest-company market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the company ranked #1 by market capitalisation on companiesmarketcap.com after the US close on Thu, Dec 31, 2026 (read once, archived). If that ranking is unavailable or plainly wrong, Hunch computes market cap as the official Dec 31 closing price × shares outstanding on the cover of the company's latest 10-Q/10-K (all share classes, e.g. GOOGL + GOOG). Betting closes Mon, Dec 28, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: companiesmarketcap.com (archived Dec 31 close).
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