$B20Oct 31
6+ tokenized stocks minted
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betscustom_api
Native marketTokenized stocksAuto-resolves · hunch
Will Coinbase's tokenized stocks on Base reach $10M of on-chain float by December 31, 2026
A native Hunch YES/NO market on how much real equity actually makes it on-chain. On-chain float is the honest adoption number: the shares Coinbase has genuinely issued as B20 tokens (each token's totalSupply() on Base) valued at that stock's official Chainlink price — not pool TVL, not trading volume. Resolves YES the instant the combined float across every B20 token touches $10,000,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026; otherwise NO. At creation the four live tickers (NVDAc, AAPLc, GOOGLc, METAc) carried about $6.5M between them, so YES needs roughly a 1.5x. Hunch reads the raw number from its own public metrics endpoint and applies the $10M line itself; every input is reproducible with two eth_calls per token.
Outcome
YES / NO
Target
10,000,000 dollars of on-chain float
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
119d08h51m10s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
Live Coinbase tokenized stocks on Base · hunch
Declared so far
8,950,969
Target
10,000,000
89.5% of target1,049,031 to go
How this resolves
Resolves YES the instant Coinbase tokenized stocks on Base reports 10,000,000 dollars of on-chain float at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. The dollars of on-chain float count is read live from the Coinbase tokenized stocks on Base API; Hunch reads the raw metric and applies the 10,000,000 line itself, so settlement never depends on the partner's own call.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock adoption market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Aug 26, 2026, 05:10 AM UTC) Coinbase tokenized stocks on Base reported ≈ 6,508,613 dollars of on-chain float.
Related markets
More markets on the same token or type.