$B20Oct 31
6+ tokenized stocks minted
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betscustom_api
Native marketTokenized stocksAuto-resolves · hunch
Will any Coinbase tokenized stock trade 2% awayfrom its official price before 2027?
A native Hunch YES/NO market on whether the peg holds. A tokenized share is only worth a share because authorized participants can create and redeem against the real thing — that arbitrage loop is what pins the on-chain price to the official one. This market asks whether it ever visibly slips. Resolves YES the instant ANY B20 token's on-chain price sits 2% or more away from its official Chainlink price — in either direction — at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026; otherwise NO. At creation the widest gap across the four live tickers was 0.23% (METAc), so the loop is holding tight. The most likely YES is a weekend or an overnight shock, when the official feed is frozen and the pools trade on alone.
Outcome
YES / NO
Target
2.0% percent
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
119d08h51m08s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
Live Widest B20 premium or discount · hunch
Declared so far
0.3%
Target
2.0%
14.8% of target1.7 pts to go
How this resolves
Resolves YES the instant Widest B20 premium or discount reports 2.0% percent at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. The percent count is read live from the Widest B20 premium or discount API; Hunch reads the raw metric and applies the 2.0% line itself, so settlement never depends on the partner's own call.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock peg market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Aug 26, 2026, 05:10 AM UTC) Widest B20 premium or discount reported ≈ 0.2% percent.
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