Volume milestoneSep 30
B20 DEX volume → $50M · when
4 windows · pick when
$0 vol0 betsdune
Native marketDune resolves4 windows · pick when
When will Arbitrum's total stablecoin market cap first cross $10B
A native multi-outcome Hunch market: pick the UTC window in which the total stablecoin market cap on Arbitrum (every stablecoin summed — USDC, USDT, PYUSD and the rest, via public Dune query 5651111) first crosses $10B. It is ~$4.8B today. Resolves to the window containing the first confirmed crossing, or to “H2 2027 or later” if it hasn't crossed by June 30, 2027. Stakes escrow onchain in the Hunch vault on Arbitrum One; winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).
Asset
$USDC
Live volume
$4.01B
Target
$10.00B
Countdown
300d08h10m29s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Live Arbitrum total stablecoin market cap$4.01B / $10.00B
40.1% to $10B$5.99B to go
Ranges · low → high · pick the close
Parimutuel
No bets yet — odds start even across every range. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata; bet before anyone else and you’re refunded.
By September 30, 2026
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
October – December 2026
LiveEven
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
January – June 2027
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
H2 2027 or later
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed$0
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Arbitrum stablecoin market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. The market resolves to the single UTC window in which Arbitrum total stablecoin market cap first crosses $10.00B — read live from Dune. It locks the instant the crossing is confirmed; if the line is not crossed by Jul 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC, the “H2 2027 or later” outcome wins. The live volume above is a preview.
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